How many sitting parliamentarians will be listed on ControlAI's campaign statement on December 31, 2028?

The median estimates for the number of sitting parliamentarians on ControlAI's campaign statement on December 31, 2028, are 225 under the $0 (no grant) alternative, 232 under the $250k grant, and 249 under the $1M grant.

Initial logic and parameters are validated. The current baseline of roughly 160 sitting UK parliamentarians 66 sources is established context, along with expected natural attrition and risks such as the May 2027 Northern Ireland election questions-statements.parliament.uk, Lords churn, and the potential for an early general election before August 2029 2 sources. The baseline growth rate will organically slow as the most sympathetic legislators are exhausted and organizational attention shifts toward non-UK efforts and the ASI bill.

Standard processing applied for evaluating unrestricted grant allocations. Because the money is fungible, marginal spending predominantly flows to other G7 countries and the US 3 sources.

Final capacity transformations establish the ultimate outcomes. The $250k grant generates only a minor shift in UK-specific retention and recruitment, while the $1M alternative directly establishes the elevated 249 outcome through compounded capacity advantages and post-election recovery.