Our central estimate of 51.1 TWh for Morocco's 2026 net national electricity demand is grounded in the official 'énergie nette appelée' (ENA) metric published by ONEE and ANRE.
Baseline and Momentum: Official data establishes a 2024 baseline of 45.71 TWh 3 sources. In 2025, electricity demand experienced an exceptional surge of roughly 7.3%, driven by ongoing industrialization, demographics, and electrification, bringing the 2025 base to approximately 49.0 TWh [40eb9f, abd530
This forecast was kept unchanged, as its distribution serves as the near-term anchor for the consistent growth trajectory expected through 2030 .
Target Metric & Baseline The resolution metric for national demand maps to Morocco’s official "<span>énergie nette appelée</span>" (ENA). The baseline for 2024 is firmly anchored at 45.71 TWh 44 sources.
Recent Momentum In 2025, demand growth accelerated sharply to approximately 49.0 TWh 2 sources. However, early 2026 figures indicate a partial normalization, moderating to 4.5% year-over-year finances.gov.ma. This provides a credible run rate bridging the exception
This forecast was held largely stable, as its distribution already aligned seamlessly with the consistent growth trajectory projected across the rest of the decade .
Target Metric Definition This forecast targets Morocco's "<span>consommation nationale nette d'électricité</span>," officially reported as the "<span>énergie nette appelée</span>" (ENA). It includes transmission and distribution losses, running higher than narrow "final consumption" sales figures.
Baseline and Recent Trajectory Historical ENA officially reached 45.71 TWh in 2024 anre.maone.maanre.ma. Demand sharply accelerated in 2025 to approximately 49.0 TWh, driven by early desal
Set against the related 2027 forecast, this estimate was shifted upward to maintain a consistent annual growth curve, correcting an anomalous dip in the implied trajectory .
The resolution criteria for Morocco's '<span>consommation nationale nette</span>' aligns with the official '<span>énergie nette appelée</span>' (ENA) metric, avoiding the structurally lower 'final consumption' metric. The official baseline for ENA in 2024 was 45.71 TWh anre.maone.maanre.ma.
Near-Term Baseline & Momentum Data indicates a sharp acceleration in 2025, with ENA expanding to a firmly elevated baseline of ~49.0 TWh finances.gov.ma. Early 2026 data points to normalization, with ENA gr
This forecast remained largely stable, with a slight upward adjustment to the upper tail to smoothly bridge the compounding effects of an aggressive industrialization scenario expected by 2030 .
The relevant metric for this forecast is the "<span>énergie nette appelée</span>" (ENA, or net national demand), as published by ONEE/ANRE, which accounts for end-user consumption plus transmission and distribution losses conseil-concurrence.ma. The baseline has seen rapid recent growth, reaching 45.71 TWh in 2024 ecoactu.maecoactu.maanre.maaujourdhui.maone.ma. In 2025, demand spiked by an estimated 7.3% to approximately 49 TWh fr.linkedin.commobile.telquel.mahcp.ma. However, infra-annual data for early 2026 indicates a normaliz
This forecast was maintained, as its distribution perfectly anchors the long-term end of the stable exponential growth trajectory projected from 2026 onward .
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