Supergirl Rotten Tomatoes score?

rationale:

Supergirl theatrically releases on June 26, 2026 warnerbros.com, and this market resolves on June 29 at 10:00 AM ET based on the live Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer. The key uncertainty is how much the score will move over the opening weekend as late-arriving reviews are added to the aggregate. Currently, the critical reception is decidedly mixed. Across multiple recent snapshots, the Tomatometer sits in the mid-to-high 50s: Wikipedia reported 56% on 159 reviews en.wikipedia.org, Forbes/Yahoo cited 56% on 133 reviews yahoo.com, Reddit logged 57% on 143 reviews old.reddit.com, and FandomWire noted 58% on 140 reviews fandomwire.com. Metacritic reinforces this mixed sentiment, sitting around 49-50 based on roughly 40 reviews old.reddit.com metacritic.com goldderby.com. Even Rotten Tomatoes' editorial highlights that while star Milly Alcock stands out, it is ultimately an 'uneven' DCU entry editorial.rottentomatoes.com. With approximately 140-160 reviews already aggregated, the score is mathematically rigid and largely locked in. Only about 40-60 additional reviews are expected before Monday morning. Even if these late reviews skewed significantly in either direction, they would only move the aggregate by 1 to 2 points. Furthermore, comparable borderline fresh/rotten superhero films historically exhibit a mild downward drift as late, non-premiere reviews trickle in over the opening weekend. Given this dynamic, the final score on June 29 is expected to center tightly around 55% to 56%. Note that the thresholds are strictly 'greater than' (e.g., 'Above 55' requires a displayed score of at least 56). For the upper thresholds (Above 60, 65, 70), reaching 61% or higher is effectively impossible. It would require the remaining reviews to be overwhelmingly positive, which directly contradicts the established critical consensus. The 'Above 55' market (requiring 56 or higher) is roughly a coin flip at 52%, reflecting the current 56-57% baseline but pricing in a high likelihood of a 1-2 point downward drift. 'Above 57' (requiring 58 or higher) is significantly lower at 25%, as it would require the score to defy historical trends and improve slightly over the weekend. A drop below 50% would require an unprecedented 7+ point slide on an already large denominator. Therefore, confidence remains near-certain that the film will finish well above 50.