rationale:

Final Result: P10=0.01 GW, P25=0.02 GW, P50=0.03 GW, P75=0.08 GW, P90=0.2 GW.

Strategic Posture and Background Initial logic and parameters are validated regarding AMI Labs' founding, $1.03B seed round 2 sources, and explicit alternative research agenda artificialintelligence-news.com. LeCun's anti-scaling philosophy observer.com is established context.

Budget Realities and Compute Anchors Initial logic and parameters regarding the Nebius contract usinenouvelle.com and market rate power conventions crn.com are validated. Standard processing applied to the infrastructure funding baseline.

Downside Risks and Strict Resolution Criteria Standard processing applied to the strict exclusive-use requirements and AMI's 50-person organizational size nebius.science. Early logic constraints validated.

Upside Tail and Future Expansion The explicit anti-scaling philosophy restricts compute capacity to a highly efficient footprint, driving the final transformation. We jump directly to a tightly constrained baseline: the median estimate lands at 0.03 GW. The downside strictly resolves at 0.01 GW for the P10 and 0.02 GW for the P25 due to potential reliance on shared resources. While strategic backers 2 sources provide capital, the efficient footprint restricts the upside expansion, capping the P75 at 0.08 GW and the extreme P90 tail at 0.2 GW.