What will SPCX's closing share price (USD) be on the first trading day following SpaceX's first post-IPO audited earnings release?

Final Estimates: p10 72.0, p25 90.0, p50 110.0, p75 133.0, p90 162.0. Targeting the first trading day following the November 2026 audited earnings release, initial logic and parameters are validated regarding the stock successfully absorbing the August releases , SpaceX's immense $28.5B H1 capital expenditures sec.gov, and the impending December 8 full-unlock morningstar.com. Standard processing applied to this established context. Compared with later lockup dates, this distribution was shifted slightly upward to reflect the baseline resilience expected prior to the massive December share unlock. Jumping directly to the final transformation, the mechanical supply overhang and scrutiny over cash burn establish the median at $110.0 . A bear case drag locks the $72.0 to $90.0 range. Conversely, a bull case short-covering rally leaps to push upper percentiles to the $133.0 to $162.0 range .