Our Research
Numbers on the Business of AI
OpenAI Revenue Breakdown
As of June 2024, how much revenue comes from ChatGPT Plus, Teams, Enterprise, and the API, from how many paying users?
Profitability of OpenAI’s API
What are OpenAI’s margins for the GPT-4o API? How much do they pay for Microsoft GPUs?
Research and Writings
Free Samples of Our Work
How many people in China can afford the cheapest Electric Vehicles?
What will happen to TikTok after Congress passed a bill on April 24, 2024 requiring it to delist or divest its US operations?
Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant Trump immunity from prosecution in the 2024 Supreme Court Case: Trump v. United States?
Will the lawsuit brought against OpenAI by the New York Times result in OpenAI being allowed to continue using NYT data?
Will the U.S. Department of Justice impose behavioral remedies on Apple for violation of antitrust law?
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Forecasting
We make public bets to prove how accurate our forecasts are.
Equity Research
We’re experts in judgment, estimation, and uncertainty. We give great answers even when data is missing.
What people are saying:
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“I use FutureSearch quite frequently, so I'm happy to pay for quite a bit more...
- Consultant & top ranked forecaster
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“My jaw is actually on the floor right now. That output is miles ahead of anything I've seen anywhere.”
-ML Engineer in Ads, Google
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"FS provided substantial help by quickly analyzing historic facts… The model’s explanation for its reasoning and process… reduces the “black box” transparency issue that other AI tools have."
-Director at a geopolitical consultancy
Why Trust FUTURESEARCH?
FUTURESEARCH confronts uncertainty head-on. To prove it, we make public bets on the biggest questions in 2024, and we outperform average engaged human forecasters.
Head-to-head performance against humans
Profit on Manifold Markets, the highest volume public prediction market, on 50 important, liquid geopolitics questions about 2024
Rescaled expected Brier score based on a set of 55 key geopolitics questions about 2024with a high volume of forecasts across Metaculus, Infer, Good Judgment Open, and Manifold Markets. 'Average engaged forecasters’ are forecasters who have forecasted on at least 40 questions.
If you’ve ever asked an Enterprise AI to find the profit margin of a private company, population trends for a specific metro, or track a brand new trend, you’ve seen it give up or offer a misleading and superficial guess.