Our Research

Numbers on the business of AI

OpenAI Revenue Breakdown

As of June 2024, how much revenue comes from ChatGPT Plus, Teams, Enterprise, and the API, from how many paying users?

Anthropic Investor Breakdown

As of July 2024, who owns what percent of Anthropic? What percent of shares were sold by FTX to the UAE sovereign wealth fund?

Profitability of OpenAI’s API

What are OpenAI’s margins for the GPT-4o API? How much do they pay for Microsoft GPUs?

Research and writings

Free samples of our work

See intelligence on the Chinese EV market to understand our methods.

Alternative Meats Market

What is the market size and profit margin for fermentation-derived alternative meats?

United States Congress bans TikTok

What will happen to TikTok after Congress passed a bill on April 24, 2024 requiring it to delist or divest its US operations?

Presidential Prosecution Immunity 

Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant Trump immunity from prosecution in the 2024 Supreme Court Case: Trump v. United States?

NYT sues OpenAI on copyright

Will the lawsuit brought against OpenAI by the New York Times result in OpenAI being allowed to continue using NYT data?

Apple Federal Antitrust Suit

Will the U.S. Department of Justice impose behavioral remedies on Apple for violation of antitrust law?

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Rescaled expected Brier score based on a set of 55 key geopolitics questions about 2024with a high volume of forecasts across Metaculus, Infer, Good Judgment Open, and Manifold Markets. 'Average engaged forecasters’ are forecasters who have forecasted on at least 40 questions.

If you’ve ever asked an Enterprise AI to find the profit margin of a private company, population trends for a specific metro, or track a brand new trend, you’ve seen it give up or offer a misleading and superficial guess.

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